Annastacia Palaszczuk will be returned as Queensland Premier with her government likely to win 48 seats, giving it a slim majority, ABC election analyst Antony Green says.
He said he was certain Labor would have at least 46 seats, with the ABC election computer predicted they would win another two, clearing the 47 needed to govern with a majority.
The LNP is predicted to win 39 seats.
One Nation and the Greens are predicted to win one seat each, Katter's Australia Party two, and one independent.
Green said it looked like the Palaszczuk Government had been returned.
"On the numbers we have at the moment it is a majority government, but even if she falls a seat short, she doesn't have to do any deals," Green said.
"She can leave it to the Parliament to vote her out, because it would be unlikely that all the crossbench would vote against them at once.
"It is a fixed-term Parliament — the Government can't just resign and walk out of office and leave someone else to form government — they can't do that, so somebody will form government.
"So it is very hard to see how anyone other than Annastacia Palaszczuk can form government in the new Parliament.
"They have a certain 46, and they only need one more vote and at the moment we are giving them another two seats on a prediction."
Minor parties performed well: Green
He said the Greens had done well in inner-Brisbane.
"They are strongly in the running to pick up the Liberal seat of Maiwar from Scott Emerson — a frontbencher," Green said.
"It is unclear whether Labor or the Greens will win it, but certainly the LNP won't win that seat.
"[The Greens have] equalled Labor's vote in South Brisbane, but been defeated by the LNP preferencing Labor first.
"They've also performed well in McConnell."
Green said although One Nation had done well, it was not well enough to win many seats.
"There is a strong likelihood they could win the northern mining seat of Mirani — that's the only one," he said.
"The only other seats where they have done very well, the LNP has been re-elected on Labor preferences."