- FTSE 100 closes up 156 points
- US GDP falls by 4.8%
- Gilead reports upbeat data for potential coronavirus treatment
5.15pm: FTSE closes up
FTSE 100 closed firmly higher midweek as traders looked to the Federal Reserve's statement later and hopes were raised over a potential treatment for coronavirus.
Britain's premier share index made a triple-digit gain to finish up over 156 points at 6,115.
The US central bank has been holding a policy meeting and traders will be keen to hear the Fed's thoughts on how the US economy is holding up amid the pandemic later.
As well as absorbing an eye-watering US $2 trillion in assets over the last few weeks, the central bank has also opened nine liquidity facilities to backstop markets.
Traders will be paying close attention to the language used, and they will be listening out for the possibility of any extra stimulus measures.
The US economy shrunk by 4.8% in the first quarter, according to an advance GDP reading. Economists were expecting a contraction of 4%.
David Madden, analyst at London-based CMC Markets, noted that traders were bullish on Wednesday due to a report that showed some progress had been made in relation to a possible treatment for Covid-19.
"It is understood that Gilead Sciences antiviral drug, Remdesivir, showed positive data in a trial. There has been some back and forth in relation to the drug in question, but for now the sentiment seems to be positive," he said.
3.45pm: FTSE 100 moves higher in late afternoon
Into the final hour of trading, the FTSE 100 gained momentum following the strong open in the US and was up 148 points at 6,106 at 3.40pm.
Risk appetite has returned somewhat due to the positive news form Gilead about its coronavirus treatment, overshadowing dire US GDP data and the upcoming Fed meeting.
“Optimism is growing that [Gileads] Remdesivir will get fast track approval, but traders need to exercise some caution as it has yet to be proven safe nor effective in treating [coronavirus]. Dr. Fauci (Dir of National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases) will hold a press conference later today regarding Remdesivir”, said Craig Erlam at OANDA.
However, while the Gilead news may be attracting attention today, the US GDP figure could be just a taste of the economic horror show predicted in the second quarter of this year.
“Despite rolling reopening optimism, the economy could still shrink between 30-40%. Too much needs to go right for US economic activity to recover quickly and a lot of that will depend on the availability of rapid, widespread testing, approval of treatments, and the ability for drug companies to ramp up production domestically and internationally. Optimism seems warranted, but it might best be placed for the third quarter”, Erlam said.
2.40pm: Wall Street starts higher
Wall Street has opened higher on Wednesday in spite of the looming US recession implied from this mornings GDP figure.
Shortly after the opening bell, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 1.57% at 24,479 while the S&P 500 jumped 1.82% to 2,915 and the Nasdaq rose 2.06% to 8,784.
The surge appears to have been sparked partly by positive data from a trial of a potential coronavirus treatment by biotech firm Gilead Biosciences Inc (NASDAQ:GILD).
In London, the positive start in New York seemed to have lifted the FTSE 100, which was up 113 points at 6,072 at 2.40pm.
2.00pm: US GDP contracts by 4.8% in first quarter
The American economy shrank by 4.8% in the first quarter of 2020, worse than forecast and ending the countrys record run of uninterrupted economic growth.
The contraction is also the worst quarterly drop since the financial crisis, when in the fourth quarter of 2008 US GDP dropped by 8.4%, as the coronavirus pandemic caused falls in personal spending alongside declining exports and a lack of corporate investment.
US GDP fell at an annualized rate of -4.8% in 1Q20, down from +2.1% in 4Q19, based on initial estimates. pic.twitter.com/xxM3ncwfOj
— Patrick Chovanec (@prchovanec) April 29, 2020
However, analysts are expecting that the worst is yet to come with the second quarter GDP figures predicted to see an even steeper fall in production as lockdown measures bite harder.
In London, the FTSE 100 was up 108 points at 6,066 shortly before 2pm.
1.30pm: Wall Street expected to open higher
US markets are predicted to start Wednesdays session on the front foot as traders seemed to have little anxiety about the upcoming US GDP data and the scheduled Fed meeting.
“Investors are showing no fear despite this being a blockbuster week in terms of earnings and central bank meetings. It's easy to be brave when big brother Fed is stood behind you and has committed to having your back for the foreseeable future”, said OANDAs Craig Erlam.
“Big bro can't stand behind investors indefinitely though so the longer this goes on, the more chance there is of more carnage further down the road. If you looked at the markets, you'd swear the economy was going through a minor blip, not the worst recession in a century. Madness”, he added.
Regarding the Fed, Erlam said the central bank was unlikely to provide any surprises.
“I mean, what is there left for them to do? Their balance sheet has expanded at an eye-watering pace, increasing around 60% since late February to more than $6.5 trillion. Moreover, financial markets have calmed right down, giving investors trillions more reasons to buy those dips. It's far from healthy but compared to what was happening in late February/early March, it's the lesser of two evils. Either way, the Fed can afford to take it easy today”, he said.
Meanwhile, in London, the FTSE 100 was up 61 points at 6,019 in early afternoon trading.
11.50am: FTSE 100 trading sideways as morning ends
As the morning part of Wednesdays session drew to a close, the FTSE 100 had lost some of its earlier gains and was hovering around 6,000, adding 43 points to 6001 at around 11.50am.
The index has been boosted by good performances from the UKs major banks, with Barclays PLC (LON:BARC) rising 7.8% to 105.4p in late-morning trading while Standard Chartered PLC (LON:STAN) was up 3% at 401.5p.
On the way down was British Airways owner International Consolidated Airlines SA (LON:IAG), which dropped 2.1% to 213.4p following news overnight that it is planning to axe 12,000 BA staff amid a slump in demand for travel.
The outlook for the rest of the sector was just as grim after French aircraft maker Airbus warned in an outlook statement that the airlines may not see passenger levels recover to their pre-pandemic levels for another five years.
10.45am: Eurozone economic sentiment sees fastest drop ever
At around mid-morning, the FTSE 100 was slowly continuing it is ascent and was up 56 points at 6,018 shortly before 10.45am.
While things may be looking up for the market in London, across the Channel the picture was gloomier after the Eurozone recorded its fastest ever drop in economic sentiment in April.
The sentiment indicator for the bloc fell to 94.2 to 67, with analysts at ING saying the biggest concern was a “rapid decline in employment expectations for both industry and services”.
The bank also highlighted that hiring expectations were plummeting, a fact it said “does not bode well for the permanent fallout” of the pandemic.
“Prospects for the coming months are dismal despite announcements of cautious lockdown loosening”, they concluded.
The bleak forecast may make some traders nervous ahead of the US GDP data later today, which is also expected to report a sharp drop in output from the worlds largest economy.
9.50am: FTSE 100 passes 6,000 point mark
The FTSE 100 passed the 6,000 point mark at around 9.40am, adding 45 points to 6,003 as the morning session progressed.
The milestone is significant in the market recovery as it means the blue-chip index has managed to claw back all of its losses since the pandemic-inspired crash on 12 March, the worst day for the market since 1987.
AJ Bells Russ Mould provided some credit for the rise to Barclays PLC (LON:BARC), which rose 5.4% to 103p in early deals as the bumper performance form its investment banking arm helped overshadow some of the damage caused by a £2.1bn charge in anticipation of coronavirus loan losses.
”Although Barclays has attracted flak for its commitment to investment banking, this part of the business is actually performing well at a time when the retail bank is facing a significant increase in bad debts”, Mould said.
However, he added that the multi-billion pound provision reflected “the fragility of the UK economy amid the lockdown”.[embedded content]
8.45am: Surfeit of news to digest
The FTSE 100 made a quiet, but positive start to proceedings on Wednesday with traders keeping their powder dry ahead of US GDP numbers and the Feds monthly meeting later.
The index of UK blue-chips nudged just 21 points higher to 5,979.66.
The former is expected to be the more informative of the two events with the worlds largest economy expected to have shrunk by 4% in the first quarter. The true carnage from the coronavirus lockdown will be revealed three months from now.
While the Federal Reserve is meeting for the first time since its emergency rate, it is unlikely the central bank will deliver any telling insights or indeed additional financial help when its members gather.
British Airways owner IAG (LON:IAG) saw 7% wiped from its value after it told the market it will take “years” to recover from the coronavirus lockdown and announced plans to cut up to 12,000 jobs.
“Even without the sudden shutdown of the travel industry in the last month, the last two years have been a struggle for airlines and the wider sector, with multiple businesses failing, including Monarch Thomas Cook, and more recently FlyBe,” said Michael Hewson of CMC Markets.
“Apart from problems with overcapacity, the industry has had to contend with two high profile crashes of the Boeing 737 MAX, which caused that plane to be grounded indefinitely and increased the costs of a number of the airlines who used the plane and had to lease replacement aircraft to fill the gap
“Having grounded planes and furloughed staff in the face of the COVID-19 tsunami coming their way the industry is now set for another change and challenge.”
Proactive news headlines:
Power Metal Resources Plc (LON:POW) and Red Rock Resources PLC (LON:RRR) have begun a new joint venture partnership with the aim of building a strategic gold exploration portfolio in Australia. It sees Power taking a 49.9% interest in Red Rock Australasia, which as a joint venture vehicle will be renamed. This vehicle has now already applied for exploration license area EL007271, with Power covering the application fees (£1,125). This asset is being referred to as the Blue Whale project. The area spans some 130 square kilometres in the south-western portion of the Victoria Goldfields.
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Caledonia Mining Corporation PLC (LON:CMCL) (TSE:CAL) has declared a quarterly dividend of US$0.07 per share after having deferred the payment at the start of April. However, since then, the AIM-listed firm said, it has been “encouraged” by continued operations at its Blanket mine and the re-opening of important supply lines. The company said Blankets supply chain of consumables and spares parts was now “close to normal” and the mine was re-establishing full production after having operated at 93% of capacity during lockdown in Zimbabwe.
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