Next week London will discover if it will be put into Tier 3 and the dreaded moment could have some huge consequences for Christmas.
While many families will be planning their festive seasons around the Christmas bubble rules – these could still change.
So what happens if we move into the highest tier?
Under Tier 2 regulations you can still socialise outdoors using the rule of six but you are not allowed to socialise indoors.
Pubs and bars are also allowed to stay open given customers eat a substantial meal with alcoholic beverages.
However, under the strictest tier pubs and bars will have to close.
With the infection rate rising in all of London’s boroughs the threat of Tier 3 looms.
So what does this mean for Christmas?
What are the rules from now until December 23?
It’s important to remember that we can only go on the current Government guidelines set out and there is always a chance that things could change.
Until December 23, the rules are clear: you must follow the guidance of the tier where you live.
So the rules in London will remain the same unless we are upgraded to Tier 3 on Wednesday, December 16.
If our tier changes after December 16, you must keep following the rules of that tier.
What about the week of Christmas?
From December 23 to December 27, you may choose to form a Christmas bubble.
In this period, you are allowed to form one exclusive Christmas bubble made up of people from no more than three households.
A Christmas bubble will be able to spend time together in private homes, including second homes and caravans, to attend places of worship, or meet in a public outdoor place.
If you do form a Christmas bubble, you should not meet socially with friends and family you do not live with in your home or garden – unless they are part of your Christmas bubble.
In all other settings, you should follow the local restrictions for whatever tier London is under.
This means outside of your Christmas bubble you should continue following the tier rules as normal.
The rules do not change in bars, pubs, restaurants or shops.
What happens from December 28 then?
From December 28, you must follow the guidance for the tier in your area and the Christmas bubbles will no longer apply.
What about New Years Eve?
Sadly, not much will feel ‘new’ about New Years Eve this year.
You should continue to follow the rules of the tier.